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		<title>In the Fog (V Tumane)</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/14/in-the-fog-v-tumane/</link>
		<comments>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/14/in-the-fog-v-tumane/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 May 2013 23:12:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Belarus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bellorussia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[film]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[German occupation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[In the Fog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[partisans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resistance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Second World War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sergei Kolesov]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sergei Loznitsa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USSR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[V Tumane]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vasili Bykov]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vladimir Svirskiy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vladislav Abashin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WWII]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In the Fog (original title V Tumane) is a German/Dutch/Belarussian/Russia/Latvian Film, directed by Sergei Loznitsa. It is set in Belorussia, as Belarus was known when it was part of the USSR, in 1942, during the German occupation. It is in &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/14/in-the-fog-v-tumane/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=997&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.inthefog-movie.com/" target="_blank"><em>In the Fog</em> </a>(original title <em>V Tumane</em>) is a German/Dutch/Belarussian/Russia/Latvian Film, directed by Sergei Loznitsa. It is set in Belorussia, as Belarus was known when it was part of the USSR, in 1942, during the German occupation. It is in English with Russian subtitles. <a href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2325741/?ref_=fn_al_tt_1" target="_blank">Click here</a> for cast and other details from the IMDB.</p>
<p>The central character is Sushenya (Vladimir Svirskiy), a railway worker who is married with a son. It starts with the execution of three suspected saboteurs by the Germans and their local collaborators.</p>
<p>Sushenya was arrested with the three executed men, but then released. This leads the local partisans to assume that he betrayed them. Two men, Burov (Vladislav Abashin) and Voitik (Sergei Kolesov) are sent to execute Sushenya as a collaborator.</p>
<p>The enemy appear just as Burov is about to shoot Sushenya. He escapes, but returns to rescue the wounded Burov. The partisans decide to keep Sushenya alive, as he can carry Burov and knows his way round the local forests.</p>
<p>The back stories of all three men are told in flashbacks. Sushenya is trapped between an occupier who kills anybody who resists and carries out reprisal killings of innocent victims, and a resistance that kills collaborators. While he is a prisoner of the Germans, they give him a choice that is really only a choice of which side will kill him.</p>
<p>The film is very well acted, especially by Svirskiy, whose haunted expression conveys the impossible dilemmas faced by Sushenya far better than any dialogue could. It is slow-moving, but thoughtfully directed and well filmed. It lasts 127 minutes, but I was very surprised when it ended, as I thought that at least 15 minutes less had passed.</p>
<p>The final scenes are shot in fog, but the title probably refers to the fog (or uncertainty) of war.</p>
<p>Although a war film, there is not much violence; one shot of the three hanged men and three brief shoot-outs. There is no nudity or swearing. The UK certificate was 12A, which means that anybody can see it, but those under 12 must be accompanied by somebody over 18.</p>
<p>A bleak but thoughtful film about the dilemmas faced by somebody living in a country under a brutal occupation. Unfortunately, it has not been widely distributed in the English-speaking world. It was released in the UK on 26 April 2013, but did not reach the Edinburgh Filmhouse, where I saw it, until 10 May and finishes on 15 May. According to the <a href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2325741/releaseinfo?ref_=tt_dt_dt" target="_blank">IMDB</a>, it has been shown only at film festivals in the USA, and has no release date for any other English-speaking country.</p>
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		<title>The Battle of Lützen 2 May 1813</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/11/the-battle-of-lutzen-2-may-1813/</link>
		<comments>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/11/the-battle-of-lutzen-2-may-1813/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 May 2013 22:34:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[War History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1813 German Campaign]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blücher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bluecher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[French Army]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lützen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luetzen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Napoleon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Napoleonic War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prussia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prussian Army]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russian Army]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tsar Alexander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wittgenstein]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[By April 1813 Napoleon had rebuilt his army, but was at war with Prussia and Russia. His field forces in Germany consisted of the 121,000 strong Army of the River Main, 58,000 men in the Army of the Elbe, 20,000 &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/11/the-battle-of-lutzen-2-may-1813/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=981&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By April 1813 <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Napoleon_I" target="_blank">Napoleon</a> had <a title="The Start of Napoleon’s 1813 German Campaign" href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/07/start-of-napoleons-1813-german-campaign/" target="_blank">rebuilt his army</a>, but was at war with Prussia and Russia. His field forces in Germany consisted of the 121,000 strong Army of the River Main, 58,000 men in the Army of the Elbe, 20,000 troops in the detached I Corps, command by Marshal <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Louis_Nicolas_Davout" target="_blank">Louis Nicolas Davout, </a>and 14,000 cavalry under General <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horace_Fran%C3%A7ois_Bastien_S%C3%A9bastiani_de_La_Porta" target="_blank">Horace Sebastiani</a>. On 25 April they were faced by only 110,000 Russians and Prussians.<a title="" href="#_ftn1">[1]</a></p>
<p>However, the French were weak in cavalry. The shortage of light cavalry meant that Napoleon lacked intelligence about the enemy&#8217;s strength, positions and manoeuvres. Advancing French columns were harassed by enemy light cavalry because there were not enough French horsemen to protect them.</p>
<p>Napoleon&#8217;s initial plan was to advance on Berlin. His northern flank would be protected by the fortresses of Torgau, Wittenberg, Magdeburg and Hamburg and the southern one by the Army of the Elbe and I Corps.</p>
<p>He would turn the flank of the enemy army and relieve the besieged fortresses of Danzig, Thorn and Modlin on the Vistula. This would release 50,000 more troops for his field army, threaten the Russian line of communication and intimidate the German princes into supporting France.</p>
<p>David Chandler notes that Napoleon did not implement this plan for a number of reasons: it would require 300,000 men; he was doubtful of the quality of the troops that he did have; his German allies, Bavaria and Saxony, were reluctant; and he did not have enough troops to protect his communications against an enemy advance in the Dresden area.<a title="" href="#_ftn2">[2]</a></p>
<p>The Allies concentrated on the Leipzig-Dresden area of Saxony. This covered their communications back to Russia and to Austria, but left Prussia exposed. They had too few troops to protect both, so concentrated on the more important area.</p>
<p>Some Prussians wanted to attack, but Prince <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/325629/Mikhail-Illarionovich-Prince-Kutuzov" target="_blank">Mikhail Kutuzov</a>, the Russian commander was cautious. Dominic Lieven comments that even the &#8216;ever-aggressive [<a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Gebhard_Leberecht_Von_Blucher" target="_blank">Gebhard von] Blücher&#8217; </a>remembered that in 1805 the Austro-Russians had attacked before the Prussians were ready and had been defeated at Austerlitz.<a title="" href="#_ftn3">[3]</a></p>
<p>Kutuzov died on 28 April. He was replaced by Prince <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Ludwig_Adolf_Peter,_Count_Wittgenstein" target="_blank">Ludwig Pyotr Wittgenstein</a>, described by Lieven as being &#8216;[i]n many ways the most suitable candidate.&#8217;<a title="" href="#_ftn4">[4]</a> He had won more victories than any other Russian general in 1812, spoke German and French and was popular with the Prussians. However, he was junior to two of the Russian corps commanders, <a href="http://www.napoleon.org/en/reading_room/biographies/files/481497.asp">Alexander Tormasov</a> and <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Michael_Andrijevich,_Count_Miloradovich" target="_blank">Mikhail Miloradovich</a>.</p>
<p>Consequently Wittgenstein was appointed to command only Blücher&#8217;s Prussians and <a href="http://rusgenerals.oooprog.ru/index.php?id=wintzingerode" target="_blank">Ferdinand Wintzingerode&#8217;s</a> Russian corps. Tormasov and Miloradovich received their orders from Tsar <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Alexander_I_of_Russia" target="_blank">Alexander</a>, &#8216;sometimes without [Wittgenstein's] knowledge&#8217; according to F. Loraine Petre.<a title="" href="#_ftn5">[5]</a></p>
<p>Napoleon ordered his troops to cross the River Saale on 1 May. They encountered opposition, notably at Weissenfels, where Marshal <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Jean_Baptiste_Bessieres" target="_blank">Jean-Baptiste Bessiéres</a> was killed, but the crossing was completed. Marshal <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Michel_Ney" target="_blank">Michel Ney&#8217;s </a>III Corps occupied Lützen in order to protect the southern flank of an advance on Leipzig.</p>
<div id="attachment_988" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 240px"><a href="http://warandsecurity.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/250px-battle_of_lutzen_map.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-988" alt="Source: Wikipedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Battle_of_Lutzen_map.jpg" src="http://warandsecurity.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/250px-battle_of_lutzen_map.jpg?w=230&#038;h=300" width="230" height="300" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Source: Wikipedia, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Battle_of_Lutzen_map.jpg" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Battle_of_Lutzen_map.jpg</a></p></div>
<p>At 4 am on 2 May Napoleon told Ney to send out strong patrols towards Zwenkau and Pegau, and to occupy Lützen and the villages of Kaja, Rahna, Gross Görschen and Klein Görschen, which lay along a ridge. Ney did not send out the patrols, which would have found the enemy army, and kept three divisions at Lützen.Wittgenstein, learning that there was only a weak French force at Kaja, decided to attack it. His troops were supposed to start moving at 1 am and be in position by 7 am. Their columns became mixed up in the dark, and were not in position until 11 am.</p>
<p>The Allies could see only 2,000 French troops, so Wittgenstein ordered the Blücher&#8217;s Prussian cavalry to charge them at 11:45 am. However, they were shocked to find themselves faced by two divisions. The French were also surprised, because they had not sent out patrols.</p>
<p>Blücher  waited until artillery could be brought up, allowing the French time to deploy.  General <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Baptiste_Girard_(soldier)" target="_blank">Jean-Baptiste Girard&#8217;s </a>division occupied and held the village of Starsiedl, but General <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Joseph,_Count_Souham" target="_blank">Joseph Souham&#8217;s</a> division was forced to withdraw from Gross Görschen.</p>
<p>Napoleon and the main French army were marching on Leipzig. Ney had been with Napoleon, but hurried back to his command on hearing the gunfire. He ordered a counter-attack , which led to a desperate action around the villages and along the ridge.</p>
<p>Napoleon quickly devised a plan to envelop the enemy. Ney&#8217;s III Corps should hold, with Marshal <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Auguste_Frederic_Louis_Viesse_de_Marmont,_duke_of_Ragusa" target="_blank">Auguste Marmont&#8217;s </a>VI Corps coming up to support its right flank. Further to the French right, General <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Henri_Gratien,_Comte_Bertrand" target="_blank">Henri-Gatien Bertrand&#8217;s</a> IV Corps would threaten the Allied left flank. Marshal <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Jacques_Etienne_Joseph_Alexandre_Macdonald" target="_blank">Jacques MacDonald&#8217;s</a> XI Corps would attack the Allied right. The <a href="http://www.napoleon-series.org/military/organization/c_frenchguard.html" target="_blank">Imperial Guard</a> would reinforce the centre.</p>
<p>Napoleon reached the battlefield at 2:30 pm. He rode amongst his troops, encouraging them, boosting their morale and leading them back into the attack. Chandler quotes Marmont as saying that &#8216;[t]his was probably the day, of his whole career, in which Napoleon incurred the greatest personal danger on the field of battle.&#8217;<a title="" href="#_ftn6">[6]</a></p>
<p>Despite appeals from his commanders, Napoleon refused to commit the Guard too soon. The Allies were hampered by a wound to Blücher and the slow arrival of Russian reserves. The Tsar held back his Guards, apparently thinking that the battle was going well and wanting to personally lead them in the decisive attack.</p>
<p>The French flanking  forces were in position by 5:30 pm. At 6:00 pm the attack was launched by XI Corps on the French left, the Imperial Guard and VI Corps in the centre and IV Corps on the right. The assault, with heavy artillery support, threw the Allies back.</p>
<p>The French won the battle, but Chandler notes that Napoleon needed two more hours to make his victory complete. He lacked the cavalry to pursue the enemy in order to turn a victory into a rout.<a title="" href="#_ftn7">[7]</a></p>
<p>Petre and Lieven both argue that the delay in the initial Allied attack in the end disadvantaged the French. An earlier start to the battle would have meant that Napoleon and his main body of troops were closer to the action when it began. They would have arrived earlier and would have had more time to complete their victory. Better reconnaissance by Ney would also have allowed Napoleon to move earlier.<a title="" href="#_ftn8">[8]</a></p>
<p>The battle showed that Napoleon and his command system could still react far more quickly and flexibility to battlefield developments than his enemies. He had won a victory, but lack of time and cavalry meant that it was not a decisive one, and the French suffered heavy casualties.</p>
<p>Chandler estimates that there were 115,000 French and 97,000 Allied troops in the vicinity, altthough not all of them engaged in combat. He reckons that 20,000 French and 18,000 Allied troops were killed or wounded.<a title="" href="#_ftn9">[9]</a> Charles Esdaile argues that the French casualties were high because the inexperience of their troops meant that they had to use &#8216;clumsy and unsophisticated&#8217; tactics.<a title="" href="#_ftn10">[10]</a></p>
<p>The Allies retired towards Dresden. An action took place at Colditz on 5 May between French troops under Prince <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Eugene_De_Beauharnais" target="_blank">Eugène</a> and the Russian rearguard, commanded by Miloradovich. The Allies did not stop in Dresden and failed to destroy its bridges. Napoleon reached it on 8 May. Two days later the King of Saxony declared for Napoleon.</p>
<p>The Allied retreat ended on 13 Mat at Bautzen, a strong defensive position. They were reinforced by another 13,000 Russian troops under Prince <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Michael_Andreas_Barclay_De_Tolly" target="_blank">Mikhail Barclay de Tolly</a>.</p>
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<hr align="left" size="1" width="33%" />
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref1">[1]</a> D. Chandler, <i>The Campaigns of Napoleon</i> (London: Weidenfeld &amp; Nicolson, 1966), pp. 874-75.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref2">[2]</a> Ibid., p. 875.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref3">[3]</a> D. C. B. Lieven, <i>Russia against Napoleon: The Battle for Europe, 1807 to 1814</i> (London: Penguin, 2010), p. 311.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref4">[4]</a> Ibid., p. 313.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref5">[5]</a> F. L. Petre, <i>Napoleon&#8217;s Last Campaign in Germany, 1813</i> (London: Arms and Armour Press, 1974, first published 1912), p. 58.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref6">[6]</a> Chandler, <i>Campaigns</i>, p. 884.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref7">[7]</a> Ibid., pp. 886-87.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref8">[8]</a> Lieven, <i>Russia against Napoleon: The Battle for Europe, 1807 to 1814</i>, p. 315; Petre, <i>Napoleon&#8217;s Last Campaign in Germany, 1813</i>, p. 85.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref9">[9]</a> Chandler, <i>Campaigns</i>, p. 1120.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref10">[10]</a> C. J. Esdaile, <i>Napoleon&#8217;s Wars: An International History, 1803-1815</i> (London: Allen Lane, 2007), p. 501.</p>
</div>
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		<title>The Start of Napoleon&#8217;s 1813 German Campaign</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/07/start-of-napoleons-1813-german-campaign/</link>
		<comments>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/07/start-of-napoleons-1813-german-campaign/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 May 2013 21:18:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[War History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eugene]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Frederick William III]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[French Army]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Friederich Wilhelm III]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Napoleon]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Tauroggen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Treaty of Kalisz]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Napoleon had to rebuild his army following the failure of his 1812 campaign in Russia. The 1813 class of conscripts had already been called up, meaning that 137,000 men were nearing the end of their training at the start of &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/07/start-of-napoleons-1813-german-campaign/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=976&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Napoleon_I" target="_blank">Napoleon</a> had to rebuild his army following the failure of his <a title="The End of Napoleon’s Russian Campaign" href="http://warandsecurity.com/2012/12/14/the-end-of-napoleons-russian-campaign/" target="_blank">1812 campaign in Russia</a>. The 1813 class of conscripts had already been called up, meaning that 137,000 men were nearing the end of their training at the start of 1813.<a title="" href="#_ftn1">[1]</a></p>
<p>More men were found from the National Guard, a home defence militia, the navy and Italy. Troops were also transferred from Spain to the German front. Others were found by calling up the 1814 class of conscripts early, along with men who had managed to evade the draft for health or other reasons in earlier years.</p>
<p>The new army was large and would fight bravely, but many of the infantry were either young and inexperienced or else old. It was harder to replace the horses than the men lost in Russia. The lack of cavalry would prove to be a major problem for Napoleon in 1813.</p>
<p>The French Empire managed to replace the cannons lost in Russia, but they needed horses to pull them, as did supply wagons, creating logistical difficulties.</p>
<p>Napoleon also had problems with the quality of his generals. According to David Chandler, the mid-ranking officers were still good, but the marshals were tired and past their best, whilst the junior ones were inexperienced.<a title="" href="#_ftn2">[2]</a></p>
<p>Whilst rebuilding his army, Napoleon left Marshal <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Joachim_Murat" target="_blank">Joachim Murat</a> in command in Germany. The Emperor had hoped that Murat would be able to hold the Russians along the River Vistula, but he was forced to retreat to Posen (now Poznan). He then handed over command to Napoleon&#8217;s step-son Prince <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Eugene_De_Beauharnais" target="_blank">Eugène</a>, and returned to his kingdom of Naples.</p>
<p>Eugène had too few troops to fight, and the frozen rivers were no help to the defender. Despite orders from Napoleon to hold, he was forced to withdraw his forces, apart from some isolated garrisons, behind the River Elbe.</p>
<p>Tsar <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Alexander_I_of_Russia" target="_blank">Alexander I</a> of Russia was, according to Dominic Lieven, effectively his own foreign minister. He was with his army, whilst the official foreign minister, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikolay_Rumyantsev" target="_blank">Nikolai Rumiantsev</a>, was in St Petersburg. Alexander&#8217;s aim was to force France behind its natural frontiers. Rumiantsev thought that the Tsar was too focused on Napoleon, paid too little attention to the Ottoman Empire and Persia and was too keen to satisfy the Austrians and British. <a title="" href="#_ftn3">[3]</a></p>
<p>Prussia had been forced to contribute a corps to Napoleon&#8217;s invasion of Russia, but on 30 December 1812 its commander, General <a href="http://www.1911encyclopedia.org/Hans_David_Ludwig,_count_Yorck_von_Wartenburg" target="_blank">Ludwig Yorck</a>, signed the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convention_of_Tauroggen" target="_blank">Convention of Tauroggen</a> with Russia, making his troops neutrals. He acted without the consent of King <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/218066/Frederick-William-III" target="_blank">Friedrich Wilhelm III</a>, but the news was received enthusiastically in Prussia.</p>
<p>Friedrich Wilhelm, according to Lieven, &#8216;detested Napoleon and&#8230;liked and admired Alexander&#8230;[but] was a great pessimist.<a title="" href="#_ftn4">[4]</a> He hesitated until the Russian had reached Prussia, but on 28 February 1813 Russia and Prussia signed the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_Kalisz_(1813)" target="_blank">Treaty of Kalisz</a>. Five days later the Russian entered Berlin.</p>
<p>The main sticking point in the negotiations was Poland. Friedrich Wilhelm did not want to lose any of the territory that Prussia had gained from the 18th century partitions of Poland. Alexander, however, thought that the only way to deal with Polish nationalism without weakening Russian security was to have a Polish kingdom whose monarch was the Russian Tsar. The agreement was that Prussia would be restored to its 1806 size, receiving northern German territory and population to compensate it for any losses in Poland.</p>
<p>The treaty required both parties to attempt to bring Austria into their alliance. The Austrians, however, were cautious for now.</p>
<p>On 16 March Prussia declared war on France. Napoleon had limited the size of its army to 42,000 after defeating it in 1806, but allowed it to recruit more in late 1812. The Prussians had also secretly created a reserve by forcing a proportion of their soldiers to retire each year. They were therefore able to field 80,000 well trained troops, backed by the Landwehr, a conscript militia and volunteer units.</p>
<p>Charles Esdaile argues that only a &#8216;very small number&#8217; joined because of German nationalism, but Prussia did have 270,000 troops by the summer.<a title="" href="#_ftn5">[5]</a></p>
<p>Defensive manoeuvring continued until early April. By then Eugène had withdrawn from the Elbe because the Prussians were massing near Dresden, and had deployed his troops in a strong defensive position with his right flank on the River Saale.</p>
<div>
<hr align="left" size="1" width="33%" />
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref1">[1]</a> D. Chandler, <i>The Campaigns of Napoleon</i> (London: Weidenfeld &amp; Nicolson, 1966), p. 866.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref2">[2]</a> Ibid., p. 868.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref3">[3]</a> D. C. B. Lieven, <i>Russia against Napoleon: The Battle for Europe, 1807 to 1814</i> (London: Penguin, 2010), pp. 285-90.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref4">[4]</a> Ibid., p. 293.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p><a title="" href="#_ftnref5">[5]</a> C. J. Esdaile, <i>Napoleon&#8217;s Wars: An International History, 1803-1815</i> (London: Allen Lane, 2007), p. 494.</p>
</div>
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		<title>Christopher Clark and Charles Emerson &#8211; Aye Write</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/01/christopher-clark-charles-emerson-aye-write/</link>
		<comments>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/01/christopher-clark-charles-emerson-aye-write/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 May 2013 21:01:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Political History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1913: The World Before the Great War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aye Write Book Festival]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charles Emerson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christopher Clark]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Great War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Sleepwalkers: How Europe Went to War in 1914]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World War I]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[On April 20 2013 I attended an event titled The Road to War, held as part of Aye Write! Glasgow&#8217;s Book Festival. Two authors, Christopher Clark and Charles Emerson, talked about their latest books, each of which take a global approach to &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/05/01/christopher-clark-charles-emerson-aye-write/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=967&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On April 20 2013 I attended an event titled <em>The Road to War</em>, held as part of <a href="http://www.ayewrite.com/Pages/default.aspx" target="_blank"><em>Aye Write! Glasgow&#8217;s Book Festival.</em></a> Two authors, Christopher Clark and Charles Emerson, talked about their latest books, each of which take a global approach to the events of 1913-14.</p>
<p><em>1913: The World Before the Great War</em> by Charles Emerson has a self-explanatory title. It is a book about the world in 1913, and is a global portrait, looking at 23 cities from all continents.</p>
<p>In 1913 there was great confidence in many countries and cities, including Glasgow, which was the second city of the largest empire in an imperial world.</p>
<p>It was a modern world to a surprising extent. The first aerial bombing campaign, by <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p00ggb50http://" target="_blank">the Italians in Libya</a>, had taken place two years earlier, albeit using very primitive techniques. Other features of the world of 1913 included Cubism, psychoanalysis, Grand Prix motor racing, the start of production of the Model T Ford, the building of skyscrapers and the start of the switch from<a title="British Strategy and Oil, 1914-1923" href="http://warandsecurity.com/2012/02/24/british-strategy-and-oil-1914-1923/" target="_blank"> coal to oil</a>.</p>
<p>Emerson used accounts of travel, diaries and journals in his research. There was a great movement of people around the world in 1913; Canada had more immigrants that year than in any other.</p>
<p>His book is not about the causes of the war,and he has tried avoid hindsight in writing about a point in time when war was not expected; the world had survived previous war scares. <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/24555/Sir-Norman-Angell" target="_blank">Norman Angell&#8217;s</a> <em>The Great Illusion</em>, which was widely read, argued that war was by then so expensive that nobody sensible would want one.</p>
<p>Empires were then the key to how the world worked. Europeans assumed that they were culturally and racially superior.</p>
<p>The book is intended to be a panorama that adds up to a true picture of the world in 1913.</p>
<p>In contrast, Christopher Clark&#8217;s <em>The Sleepwalkers: How Europe Went to War in 1914</em> is a history of the causes of WWI. He agrees that the world was not necessarily heading for war. In July 1914 most statesmen thought that war was not imminent and that the threat of it had diminished over the previous 18 months.</p>
<p>He described the war as being the &#8216;original catatrophe&#8217; of modernity. It is hard to see the October Revolution and the Russian Civil War, or the rise of Fascism and Nazism and the Holocaust without WWI, making it as big a disaster as you can get.</p>
<p>Even before the war had started, people were trying to apportion blame, pointing fingers at others who had allegedly forced war on them.</p>
<p>Aspects of the causes of the war are very modern. <a href="http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/FWWarchduke.htm" target="_blank">Archduke Franz Ferdinand</a>, like President Kennedy, was killed in a car. The assassins were armed with guns and bombs and carried cyanide pills so that they could kill themselves rather than be captured, giving them similarities with modern suicide bombers. 9/11 was a single terrorist act with great symbolism. Franz Ferdinand was killed on 28 June, the anniversary of the <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/322736/Battle-of-Kosovo" target="_blank">Battle of Kosovo</a> in 1389, an event with great symbolism to the Serbs.</p>
<p>However, there were several great powers in 1914; today, despite its perceived decline, the USA remains by far the most powerful country in the world.</p>
<p>Some aspects of the story, especially the Balkan setting, were airbrushed out of history after 1945. They have to be considered, and it is now easier to do so.</p>
<p>Clark has tried to change the question from why? to how? The two cannot be disentangled but how? leads in a different direction. Why? goes back to 1870, arguing that a series of scares move war from possible to probable to inevitable.</p>
<p>This, he argues, is not the way that history happens. The war resulted from decisions made by statesmen who had choices, as do their counterparts today.</p>
<p>He has tried to avoid a blame-centred approach. The question of blame no longer matters politically, but can lead to an insistence that one side is right and one is wrong in all wars. The war was not a consequence of a system, but of peope taking decisions.</p>
<p>In answer to a question, Clark said that some people wanted war, especially generals. <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/133217/Franz-Graf-Conrad-von-Hotzendorf" target="_blank">Franz Conrad von Hötzendorf</a>, the Chief of the Austrio-Hungarian General Staff, repeatedly recommended war, but was ignored as his advice was always for war. <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/388535/Helmuth-von-Moltke" target="_blank">Helmuth von Moltke</a>, his German counterpart, thought that it was better for Germany to have a war now rather than later. In France, General <a href="http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/FWWcastlenau.htm" target="_blank">Noël de Castelnau</a> and War Minister <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/382848/Alexandre-Millerand" target="_blank">Alexandre Millerand</a> urged the Russians to make war. The key question is how the views of these men became that of the polticial elite in 1914.</p>
<p>Clark was also asked whether or not a more specific guarantee by Britain to come to the aid of France and Russia would have prevented war. He pointed out that whichever side won a war in which Britain remained neutral would have been hostile to it afterwards. It is unknown whether or not a proper alliance would have deterred Germany, but it would have goaded on France and Russia.</p>
<p>The Triple Entente started with British fears over a Russian threat to the British Empire. This led to the <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/25071/Anglo-Japanese-Alliance" target="_blank">Anglo-Japanese Alliance</a>, and then the <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/188822/Entente-Cordiale" target="_blank">Entente with France </a>during the <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/514017/Russo-Japanese-War" target="_blank">Russo-Japanese War</a>. Russia was weakened by its defeat and signed a <a href="http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/25097/Anglo-Russian-Entente" target="_blank">Convention with Britain in 1907</a>. It dealt with Persia, Afghanistan and other imperial issues, not Germany.</p>
<p>Clark concluded by saying that history should remind us not to fall prey to the doctrine of inevitability; there are always choices. The war that ensued was not the one that people thought that they were bargaining with. They feared the end of civilisation, but hoped for a short, sharp war.</p>
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		<title>Americans Attack York, Destroy New Legislation</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/28/americans-attack-york-destroy-new-legislation/</link>
		<comments>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/28/americans-attack-york-destroy-new-legislation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Apr 2013 18:10:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[War History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bite Size Canada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War of 1812]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[York]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Reblogged from Bite Size Canada: _ In the early morning hours of April 27, 1813, the people of York, the capital of Upper Canada, were startled to hear gunfire.  American troops had landed on what is now Sunnyside Beach, and &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/28/americans-attack-york-destroy-new-legislation/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=964&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="reblog-post"><p class="reblog-from"><img alt='' src='http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/16773dabd9fe7ce0092cae8adb1fab8c?s=25&amp;d=identicon&amp;r=G' class='avatar avatar-25' height='25' width='25' /> <a href="http://tkmorin.wordpress.com/2013/04/27/americans-attack-york-destroy-new-legislation/">Reblogged from Bite Size Canada:</a></p><div class="wpcom-enhanced-excerpt"><div class="wpcom-enhanced-excerpt-content"><a href="http://tkmorin.wordpress.com/2013/04/27/americans-attack-york-destroy-new-legislation/" target="_self"><img src="http://s0.wp.com/imgpress?url=http%3A%2F%2Ffarm5.static.flickr.com%2F4137%2F4949034723_0e6cf84a00_z.jpg" alt="Click to visit the original post" class="size-full" /></a>

<p>_</p>
<p>In the early morning hours of <strong>April 27, 1813</strong>, the people of <a title="Battle of York" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_York">York</a>, the capital of <a title="Upper Canada" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Upper_Canada">Upper Canada</a>, were startled to hear gunfire.  American troops had landed on what is now <a title="Sunnyside, Toronto" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=43.637737,-79.456301&amp;spn=0.01,0.01&amp;q=43.637737,-79.456301 (Sunnyside%2C%20Toronto)&amp;t=h">Sunnyside Beach</a>, and were fighting their way along the shore.</p>
<p>The <a title="United States" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=38.8833333333,-77.0166666667&amp;spn=10.0,10.0&amp;q=38.8833333333,-77.0166666667 (United%20States)&amp;t=h">Americans</a> had sailed from <a title="Sackets Harbor, New York" href="http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=43.9463888889,-76.1177777778&amp;spn=0.1,0.1&amp;q=43.9463888889,-76.1177777778 (Sackets%20Harbor%2C%20New%20York)&amp;t=h">Sackets Harbor, New York</a>, two days before, but the only opposition on Lake Ontario had been rough weather.  </p>
</div> <p class="read-more"><a href="http://tkmorin.wordpress.com/2013/04/27/americans-attack-york-destroy-new-legislation/" target="_self"><span>Read more&hellip;</span> 461 more words</a></p></div></div><div class="reblogger-note"><div class='reblogger-note-content'>
Very informative blog post on the Battle of York on 27 April 1813, during the War of 1812 between the USA and Britain. York is now Toronto.
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		<title>Fascist Scotland &#8211; Gavin Bowd &#8211; Aye Write</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/23/fascist-scotland-gavin-bowd-aye-write/</link>
		<comments>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/23/fascist-scotland-gavin-bowd-aye-write/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Apr 2013 14:37:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Political History]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[On Saturday 20 April I attended a talk by Gavin Bowd on his book Fascist Scotland, given at Aye Write! Glasgow&#8217;s Book Festival. Gavin Bowd is a St Andrews University lecturer, albeit in French rather than Scottish or British history. &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/23/fascist-scotland-gavin-bowd-aye-write/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=956&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On Saturday 20 April I attended a talk by Gavin Bowd on his book <em>Fascist Scotland</em>, given at <a href="http://www.ayewrite.com/Pages/default.aspx" target="_blank"><em>Aye Write! Glasgow&#8217;s Book Festival.</em></a></p>
<p><a href="https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/modlangs/people/french/bowd/" target="_blank">Gavin Bowd</a> is a St Andrews University lecturer, albeit in French rather than Scottish or British history. He was introduced by the author <a href="http://www.birlinn.co.uk/Stuart-Kelly/" target="_blank">Stuart Kelly</a>, who pointed out that it has often been assumed that Fascism has attracted little support in Scotland over the years, a view contradicted by this book.</p>
<p>Bowd began by stressing that there were people sympathetic to Fascism throughout Scottish society. He then discussed a number of the individuals who appear in his book</p>
<p>He began by discussing <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rudolf_Hess" target="_blank">Rudolf Hess&#8217;s </a>flight to Scotland in May 1941. Hess intended to discuss peace terms with the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Douglas_Douglas-Hamilton,_14th_Duke_of_Hamilton" target="_blank">Duke of Hamilton</a>. Elements of the British aristocracy had shown themselves to be favourably inclined towards Nazi Germany before the war. The Duke denied having any sympathy with the proposed negotiations.</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archibald_Maule_Ramsay" target="_blank">Archibald Maule Ramsay</a> was the Unionist MP for Peebles and South Midlothian; the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unionist_Party_(Scotland)" target="_blank">Scottish Unionist Party </a>was legally independent from but closely allied to, the Conservative Party of England and Wales. At first he appeared to be just a good rural MP, but he then &#8216;discovered&#8217; an alleged Judeo-Bolshevik conspiracy. He was involved with <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tyler_Kent" target="_blank">Tyler Kent</a>, a cipher clerk at the US Embassy in London who stole secret documents.</p>
<p>Ramsay was the only MP to be detained under <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defence_Regulation_18B" target="_blank">Defence Regulation 18B</a>, and was interned until late 1944. He then resumed his parliamentary seat, but  did not stand in the 1945 General Election as he had been de-selected by his party. His last act as an MP was an unsuccessful attempt to repeal nineteenth century legislation giving Jews full civic rights.</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oswald_Mosley" target="_blank">Oswald Mosley </a>and his <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Union_of_Fascists" target="_blank">British Union of Fascists</a> had limited success in Scotland. He had previously attacked the excesses of the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_and_Tans" target="_blank">Black and Tans </a>during the Irish War of Independence and supported Irish unification. This cost him potential support from Unionists.</p>
<p>The BUF did not believe in discrimination against Catholics, thinking that they could be as good Britons as Protestants. This led groups such as John Cormack&#8217;s <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Protestant_Action_Society" target="_blank">Protestant Action </a>in Edinburgh to oppose rather than support it. Bowd suggested that the BUF was too tolerant for some Scots; perhaps bigoted against the wrong minorities would be a fairer way of putting it.</p>
<p>Some Nationalists were impressed by Mussolini&#8217;s Italian Fascists and looked for a similar movement in Scotland. They were not attracted to the BUF because it favoured devolution, but not independence for Scotland.</p>
<p>The poet <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hugh_MacDiarmid" target="_blank">Hugh McDiarmid</a>, who held a great variety of different views over his lifetime, admired Mussolini in the 1920s. He argued in 1923 for a Scottish version of Fascism, and in 1929 for the formation of Clann Albain, a Fascistic para-military organisation that would fight for Scottish freedom. In June 1940 he wrote a poem expressing his indifference to the impending German bombing of London, which was not published during his lifetime:</p>
<blockquote><p>Now when London is threatened</p>
<p>With devastation from the air</p>
<p>I realise, horror atrophying me,</p>
<p>That I hardly care.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Douglas_Young_(classicist)" target="_blank">Douglas Young</a>, a future leader of the SNP, wrote in January 1939 that:</p>
<blockquote><p>If Hitler could neatly remove our imperial breeks somehow and thus dissipate the mirage of Imperial partnership with England etc he would do a great service to Scottish Nationalism.</p></blockquote>
<p>Young also suggested that the average German stormtrooper was more honest than a British bourgeoisie.</p>
<p>However, other Nationalists, such as <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_MacCormick" target="_blank">John MacCormick</a>, supported the war effort. See <a href="http://media.wix.com/ugd/8d0104_e0bbfd9c7a21c21674d12f3e99749bea.pdf" target="_blank">this article </a>by Bowd for more on Nationalist attitudes to Fascism; it is the source of the quotes above.</p>
<p>During WWII the Germans established <a href="http://www.clandestineradio.com/crw/news.php?id=240&amp;stn=716&amp;news=644" target="_blank">Radio Caledonia </a> which carried broadcasts by Donald Grant, a native of Alness. He was a loner, who was attracted to extreme ideas. He travelled to Germany in July 1939, staying on after the outbreak of war. All that survives of his broadcasts is some illegible transcripts. He received a light sentence, perhaps because he was not captured until 1946, emigrated to South Africa and is thought to have died in the 1980s.</p>
<p>In 1938 the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Katharine_Stewart-Murray,_Duchess_of_Atholl" target="_blank">Duchess of Atholl</a>, the Unionist MP for Kinross and West Perthshire, resigned from her party and Parliament because of her opposition to appeasement. She stood as an independent in the subsequent by-election, but lost to the official Unionist candidate.</p>
<p>The Duchess opposed the British policy of non-intervention in the Spanish Civil War, and published a pro-Republican pamphlet. In retaliation <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Sarol%C3%A9a" target="_blank">Charles Saroléa</a>, a Belgian who was Professor of French at Edinburgh University, published a pro-Franco one. He had supported the rights of small nations before WWI, but later became obsessed with Bolshevism and Jews, and was part of a nexus of extreme right wing aristocrats and reactionaries.</p>
<p>Saroléa claimed that his pamphlet helped to defeat the Duchess, but Bowd notes that it was more significant that the Unionist establishment opposed her. There was also strong support from all classes for appeasement until Germany invaded Czechoslovakia in March 1939.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.undiscoveredscotland.co.uk/usbiography/j/jessiejordan.html" target="_blank">Jessie Jordan</a>, a Dundonian hairdresser who had lived for many years in Germany, was arrested as a German spy in 1938. There were allegations that her late first husband was Jewish, so she may have been motivated by a desire to protect their daughter by showing her loyalty to Germany. Certainly, a large number of her customers in Germany were Jewish. She appears to have been a much better hairdresser than spy, making elementary security errors. She received a sentence of only four years, perhaps being lucky that she was caught in peacetime.</p>
<p>Lt-Col <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graham_Seton_Hutchison" target="_blank">Graham Seton-Hutchison</a> had a distinguished record in WWI, and was well known as an author of spy fiction, featuring the James Bond like Col. Grant, and military history. He became an anti-Semite and pro-Nazi, but later espoused Scottish Nationalism, believing in the clan system and attacking Jewish finance capital.</p>
<p>In the 1920s and 30s Italians were the largest ethnic minority group in Scotland. The Italian Consulate claimed that up to 40% of them belonged to the Fascist Party. Bowd says that it has been argued that many joined for social reasons, but he contends that there was a political edge.</p>
<p>He noted that there are remnants of neo-Fascism in Scotland, amongst both supporters of UK wide extreme right parties, such as the BNP, and extreme Scottish nationalists. He stressed that he is not accusing the current SNP of being Fascist, but thinks that it has failed to come to terms with aspects of its past.</p>
<p>This did not please SNP supporters in the audience, who criticised his assertions that some nationalists have espoused Fascism. For similar views see the negative reviews of the book on <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Fascist-Scotland-Gavin-Bowd/dp/1780270526/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1366653603&amp;sr=1-1&amp;keywords=gavin+bowd" target="_blank">Amazon</a> and the comments following an article that he wrote for 7 April edition of <a href="http://www.scotsman.com/scotland-on-sunday/scotland/gavin-bowd-reveals-some-uncomfortable-truths-in-fascist-scotland-1-2881250" target="_blank"><em>Scotland on Sunday</em></a>. Bowd&#8217;s nationalist critics claim that his book is an attack on the SNP. They ignore the fact that he alleges that there were Fascist sympathisers in all parts of Scottish society, not just amongst nationalists.</p>
<p>An interesting talk on a book that brings a little known aspect of Scottish history to light.</p>
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		<title>The Gatekeepers</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/18/the-gatekeepers/</link>
		<comments>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/18/the-gatekeepers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Apr 2013 15:28:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Current affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ami Ayalon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[assassination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Avi Dichter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Avraham Shalom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carmi Gillon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collateral damage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[documentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[film]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shin Bet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[torture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yaakov Peri]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yuval Diskin]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://warandsecurity.com/?p=947</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Gatekeepers is a documentary film about Shin Bet, the Israeli internal security service, made by Dror Moreh. It consisted of interviews with the six living former heads of Shin Bet, interspersed with archive film and some CGI graphics, and &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/18/the-gatekeepers/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=947&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2309788/" target="_blank"><em>The Gatekeepers</em></a> is a documentary film about <a href="http://www.shabak.gov.il/English/History/Pages/History.aspx" target="_blank">Shin Bet</a>, the Israeli internal security service, made by <a href="http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0603466/" target="_blank">Dror Moreh</a>. It consisted of interviews with the six living former heads of Shin Bet, interspersed with archive film and some CGI graphics, and told the organisation&#8217;s story since 1967. Until then the main threats to Israel were external, so <a href="http://www.mossad.gov.il/Eng/AboutUs.aspx" target="_blank">Mossad</a>, the foreign intelligence service was more important than Shin Bet.</p>
<p>Israel&#8217;s occupation of the West Bank and Gaza after the 6 Day War in 1967 meant that it faced a security threat from territory that it controlled, so Shin Bet became the more important of the two intelligence services.</p>
<p>The film is divided into seven segments, which give it a roughly chronological order, but also discuss various themes and moral issues that have arisen since 1967, including political direction, torture, targeted assassinations and collateral damage.</p>
<p>The six participants are <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ami_Ayalon" target="_blank">Ami Ayalon</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avraham_Shalom" target="_blank">Avraham Shalom</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yaakov_Peri" target="_blank">Yaakov Peri</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carmi_Gillon" target="_blank">Carmi Gillon</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avi_Dichter" target="_blank">Avi Dichter </a>and  <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yuval_Diskin" target="_blank">Yuval Diskin</a>.</p>
<p>The seven segments are:</p>
<p><strong>No Strategy, Just Tactics:</strong></p>
<p>This covers the initial stages of the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and Gaza. Israel had no strategy for the future of the occupied territories; everything revolved round short-term tactics aimed at reducing terrorism.</p>
<p>These succeeded in cutting the number of attacks hugely, but did nothing to produce a long-term solution, although some Israelis, including Avraham Shalom, wanted a Palestinian state even then.</p>
<p>In order to carry out a census of the occupied territories, Israeli soldiers were taught a small number of relevant Arabic phrases, including &#8216;We want to count you.&#8217; Unfortunately, a pronunciation error mean that many Israelis actually said that &#8216;We want to castrate you.&#8217; Shin Bet subsequently set up a very rigorous programme of Arabic lessons for its personnel.</p>
<p><strong>Forget About Morality:</strong></p>
<p>This deals with the hijacking of the 300 bus in 1984. The four hijackers were killed, but it subsequently emerged that two had been captured alive, badly beaten and then killed. The film attributed this to the Israeli Army, but the Israeli newspaper <a href="http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/newly-released-papers-reveal-how-shin-bet-tried-to-hide-bus-300-killings-1.386889" target="_blank"><em>Haaretz</em></a> has published documents that blame Shalom and Shin Bet.</p>
<p><strong>One Man&#8217;s Terrorist is Another Man&#8217;s Freedom Fighter:</strong></p>
<p>This covers the peace negotiations between Israel and the PLO that culminated in the 1993 <a href="http://usforeignpolicy.about.com/od/middleeast/a/What-Were-The-Oslo-Accords.htm" target="_blank">Oslo Accords</a>. Opposition to them in both Palestine and Israel resulted in the growth of Hamas and Islamic Jihad and terrorist acts by Israelis.</p>
<p><strong>Our Own Flesh and Blood:</strong></p>
<p>This dealt with terrorism by Israelis who opposed the Oslo Accords. Shin Bet investigations resulted in the arrest and conviction of many of them, but most were released after serving only part of their sentences. On 4 November 1995  Israeli Prime Minister <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/events/israel_at_50/profiles/81312.stm" target="_blank">Yithak Rabin</a> was <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/events/israel_at_50/profiles/81312.stm" target="_blank">assassinated</a> by Yigal Amir, an Israeli.</p>
<p><strong>Victory is to See You Suffer:</strong></p>
<p>The title of this segment comes from a comment made by a Palestinian to Ami Ayalon during Israeli-Palestinian talks during the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Intifada" target="_blank">Second Intifada</a>. It means that the Palestinians would regard it as a victory if they could make life for the Israelis as bad as it was for themselves.</p>
<p><strong>Collateral Damage:</strong></p>
<p>This covered the targeted assassinations of Hamas leaders, and the risk that innocent civilians would also be killed. At one point Shin Bet discovered that the senior command of Hamas would be meeting in a particular building. The Israeli Air Force could have dropped a one ton bomb on it, killing all of them, but also some innocent civilians. The politicians insisted that only a quarter ton bomb should be dropped. This reduced the risk of killing innocents, but meant that the Hamas leaders would be killed only if they were in the upper floor of the two storey building; they were not and survived.</p>
<p><strong>The Old Man at the End of the Corridor:</strong></p>
<p>This came from a belief held by Ami Ayalon when he was a child on a kibbutz that Israel was run by a wise man (<a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/events/israel_at_50/profiles/81279.stm" target="_blank">David Ben-Gurion</a>) who sat in an office behind at the end of a long corridor and made decisions after thinking things through carefully. When he entered the government, he found the corridor, but there was no door at the end of it.</p>
<p>In this segment the six men reflected on Shin Bet, its activities and the implications for Israel. They all thought that it was necessary for Israel to talk to its enemies, and did not seem to have been impressed by the politicians that they had worked for, apart from Rabin; he was described as understanding security issues so well that they did not have to be explained to him.</p>
<p>A fear was expressed that Israel may end up winning all the battles but losing the war because of stubbornness. The occupation has embittered the occupied and brutalised the occupiers. Avraham Shalom suggested that Israel is treating the Palestinians as the Germans treated the non-Jewish subjects of the countries that they occupied in WWII.</p>
<p>A very powerful film. All six men came across well, speaking openly and honestly. They were aware of the problems that Israel&#8217;s actions had created, and feared that its strategy was flawed, but had been in positions where they could only carry out the strategy laid down from above.</p>
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		<title>North Korea Undercover &#8211; BBC Panorama</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/17/north-korea-undercover-bbc-panorama/</link>
		<comments>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/17/north-korea-undercover-bbc-panorama/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Apr 2013 23:56:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Current affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Myers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[controversy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[defectors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ji Seong Ho]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Everard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Sweeney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jung Gwang Il]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LSE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Fitzpatrick]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Panorama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[students]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[threat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[undercover]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://warandsecurity.com/?p=943</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On Monday 15 April 2012 the BBC broadcast a documentary in its Panorama series featuring an undercover report on North Korea from John Sweeney. The programme was controversial before it was broadcast because Sweeney, posing as a professor, joined a party of LSE students who &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/17/north-korea-undercover-bbc-panorama/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=943&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On Monday 15 April 2012 the BBC broadcast a documentary in its <em>Panorama</em> series featuring an undercover report on North Korea from John Sweeney. The programme was controversial before it was broadcast because Sweeney, posing as a professor, joined a party of <a href="http://www2.lse.ac.uk/home.aspx" target="_blank">LSE</a> students who were on an eight day tour of North Korea.</p>
<p>The students were told that the party would include a journalist, but at least some of them thought that this meant a single print journalist, rather than a three person TV crew. Some of the students have complained, claiming that the BBC put their safety at risk, and that they have received threatening emails from North Korea. The programme did obscure the identities of some members of the party.</p>
<p>The LSE and other academics have attacked the programme, alleging that the affair may damage their reputation for independence and transparency. See the websites of the <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2013/apr/15/lse-students-bbc-claims-north-korea" target="_blank"><em>Guardian</em></a>, the <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/culture/tvandradio/bbc/9994176/Risking-students-lives-in-North-Korea-was-worth-it-says-BBC.html" target="_blank"><em>Daily Telegraph</em> </a>and the <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-22156251" target="_blank">BBC</a> for more details of the controversy.</p>
<p>UK viewers can view the programme online via the <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b01s1mfw" target="_blank">I-Player</a>. <em>Panorama</em> documentaries remain available for 12 months on the I-Player rather than the normal one week.</p>
<p>The most interesting part of the programme turned out to be a series of comments from Western experts and North Korean defectors filmed elsewhere, rather than the undercover film. The programme showed what Sweeney described as a &#8216;landscape bleak beyond words&#8217;, but did not add a great deal to our knowledge of North Korea because the tourists were closely supervised by two guides.</p>
<p>The tour featured numerous power cuts, including one when the party was visiting a factory that made electricity generators. They could not go further than the visitor&#8217;s centre because the factory has switched over to making military equipment because of the threat of war.</p>
<p>Other visits included a bottling plant where no bottling was taking place and a collective farm that lacked fields, crops and animals. In the words of <a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/review-panorama--north-korea-undercover-documentary-8574282.html" target="_blank"><em>The Independent&#8217;s</em></a> TV critic, &#8216;North Korea is so poor that it can’t even build a convincing <a href="http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/potemkin%20village" target="_blank">Potemkin village</a>.&#8217; For part of the tour, they stayed at a spa hotel that was surrounded with barbed wire.</p>
<p>One afternoon the party visited a hospital that had some impressive medical equipment, but no patients. It was explained that they are treated in the morning, and work or carry out social activities in the afternoon. The tourists could not meet the patients without their permission, and could not obtain their permission without meeting them,</p>
<p>The BBC crew did manage to take some photos of signs of poverty witnessed from the tour bus, despite being told not to do so by one of the tour guides. They included a women doing her washing in an icy river, people scavenging in mud and a market that appeared to lack any produce.</p>
<p>There were some interesting snippets from the tour. Posters of Marx and Lenin had disappeared from Pyongyang over the previous year, suggesting a focus on Nationalism rather than Communism.</p>
<p>There are now a million mobile phones in North Korea; they are not supposed to be used for international calls, but Sweeney got a South Korean signal on his i-phone when near the border.</p>
<p>A bank was being built next to the party&#8217;s Pyongyang hotel by a joint venture with a Chinese bank, showing continued Chinese investment.</p>
<p>The party visited the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Korean_Demilitarized_Zone" target="_blank">De Militarised Zone</a> between the North and South on a day when North Korean TV was stepping up its threatening rhetoric against the South and the USA. There were no South Korean guards at the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Security_Area" target="_blank">Joint Security Area</a>, which Sweeney said was unusual. Perhaps they had been withdrawn to avoid an incident that might escalate?</p>
<p>Overall, however, the film from inside North Korea added nothing to a previous BBC documentary that was made openly a couple of years ago. The most interesting parts were the brief interviews with three Western experts and, especially, three North Korean defectors.</p>
<p>Professor <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brian_Reynolds_Myers" target="_blank">Brian Myers</a> of Donseo University said that the North Koreans were not planning a nuclear war, but one could come about due to some disastrous miscalculation. A higher proportion of population is in uniform than was the case in Nazi Germany or Fascist Italy before WWII. He argued that it is a far right, ultra Nationalist state, not a Communist one.</p>
<p><a href="http://fsi.stanford.edu/people/john_everard" target="_blank">John Everard</a>, the UK Ambassador to North Korea in 2006-8, describes it as being a  &#8217;deeply racially biased&#8217; society. He said that <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Jong-il" target="_blank">Kim Jong Il</a> was an admirer of Hitler and copied him, eg North Korean rallies are modelled on the Nuremberg ones. He commented that ordinary North Korean people would admit to him that their country was poor and backward, but blame this on outside pressures. He pointed out that the growth in the use of mobile phones means that news can now spread round the country far more quickly than in the past.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.iiss.org/about-us/staffexpertise/list-experts-by-name/mark-fitzpatrick/?locale=en" target="_blank">Mark Fitzpatrick</a> of the <a href="http://www.iiss.org/" target="_blank">International Institute for Security Studies</a>, explained that <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Il-sung" target="_blank">Kim Il Sung</a>, still head of state 19 years after his death, is regarded as a &#8216;kind of god.&#8217;</p>
<p>The best part of the programme was the brief interviews with three of the 25,000 North Korean defectors living in the South. Sweeney could have avoided the controversy and made a better programme by staying in the South and showing more of these.</p>
<p>Ji Seong Ho said that saying the wrong thing would mean being sent to a political prison camp; &#8216;disagreement means death.&#8217; There was a famine in 1990s after North Korea lost of support from the USSR. He lost a leg and a hand after he fell under train whilst trying to stealing coal to pay for food. His grandmother and neighbours died of starvation, and he saw lots of corpses in cities at alleyways, markets and at railway stations. Two years ago the UN estimated 6m North Koreans (25% of population) needed urgent food aid.</p>
<p>A female doctor  who declined to be interviewed, presumably because she still has family in the North, said that the people of the North do not rebel because they are brainwashed from an early age. Doctors who asked for more money for medicines would have been killed regardless of their ranking.</p>
<p>Defector Jung Gwang Il was formerly an inmate of one of North Korea&#8217;s concentration camp, Camp 15. He said that the dead were not buried in winter because of the hard ground, but were left in a warehouse until April, by when the corpses were decomposing. They were then buried, 70-80 bodies per hole. Defectors say that the concentration camps getting bigger under Kim Jong Un&#8217;s regime. The programme showed brief footage of the Yodok Camp, which is available on You Tube.</p>
<p>Sweeney&#8217;s conclusion is that Kim Jong Un is an untested leader, who feels that he must threaten war to establish his position, but could take it too far and cause a war.</p>
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		<title>Royal Navy Too Small?</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/13/royal-navy-too-small/</link>
		<comments>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/13/royal-navy-too-small/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Apr 2013 18:05:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Current affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Francis Beaufort]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RN critical mass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Santisima Trinidad capsized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UKNDA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Warships: IFR]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://warandsecurity.com/?p=937</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A recent article in Warships: International Fleet Review, written by Francis Beaufort, its political correspondent, argued that the Royal Navy risks losing critical mass. A pdf of the article can be downloaded from the UK National Defence Association&#8217;s website. The &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/04/13/royal-navy-too-small/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=937&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A recent article in <a href="http://www.warshipsifr.com/" target="_blank"><em>Warships: International Fleet Review</em></a>, written by Francis Beaufort, its political correspondent, argued that the Royal Navy risks losing critical mass. A pdf of the article can be <a href="http://www.uknda.org/File/warships%20ifr%20critical%20mass%201.pdf" target="_blank">downloaded</a> from the UK National Defence Association&#8217;s <a href="http://www.uknda.org/" target="_blank">website</a>.</p>
<p>The strength of the RN, measured in ships and people, has fallen by two-thirds since the end of the Cold War; in 2004-5 it was about half its Cold War strength.</p>
<p>In 1982, it had two carriers, two assault ships, four ballistic missile submarines (SSBN), 12 nuclear powered attack submarines (SSN), six diesel powered submarines (SSK), 15 destroyers and 46 frigates.</p>
<p>It now has no aircraft carriers, although two are under construction, two helicopter carriers, 2 assault/command ships, three landing ships, four SSBNs, five SSNs in full service with two on sea trials, five destroyers in full service with two more coming into service and 13 frigates.</p>
<p>The number of sailors and marines was 73,000 in 1982 and 36,000 in 2004; there are now only 29,000.</p>
<p>The modern ships are far more capable than their predecessors, but can only be in one place at a time, making it hard for the RN to cover all its responsibilities. Beaufort points out that there is a rule of thumb that only a third of a navy&#8217;s warships will be available at any time.</p>
<p>Britain is an island, dependent on overseas trade, and with global responsibilities. We live in times of austerity, but the RN is now at a level where it cannot be cut further, and probably should be expanded, or else its number of tasks must be reduced.</p>
<p>Still, it does not look as if the Argentinian navy is any threat; the mothballed destroyer <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ARA_Sant%C3%ADsima_Trinidad_(1974)" target="_blank">ARA <em>Santisima Trinidad</em></a> capsized in harbour earlier this year. <a href="http://www.tulsaworld.com/article.aspx/Symbol_of_Argentinas_decaying_navy_sinks_in_port/20130124_13_a6_cutlin339744" target="_blank">Click here</a> for a report and picture.</p>
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		<title>The Spies Who Fooled the World &#8211; BBC</title>
		<link>http://warandsecurity.com/2013/03/20/the-spies-who-fooled-the-world-bbc/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Mar 2013 17:59:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Gibson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Current affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[August Hanning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ayad Allawi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Murray]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BND]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colin Powell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curveball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DGSE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elisabetta Burba]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Sir Mike Jackson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[George W. Bush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraqi National Accord]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joschka Fischer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lord Butler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MI6]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muhammed Harith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Naji Sabri]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Niger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Panorama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Taylor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pierre Brochand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rafid Ahmed Alwan al-Janabi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Red River spy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Richard Dearlove]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rocco Martino]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Saddam Hussein]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tahir Habbush al-Tikriti]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tony Blair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tyler Drumheller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[uranium]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WMD]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://warandsecurity.com/?p=929</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On 18 March 2013, the BBC broadcast a documentary called The Spies Who Fooled the World as part of its Panorama current affairs series. The spies in question were those whose claims that Saddam Hussein&#8217;s Iraq possessed weapons of mass &#8230; <a href="http://warandsecurity.com/2013/03/20/the-spies-who-fooled-the-world-bbc/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=warandsecurity.com&#038;blog=32651979&#038;post=929&#038;subd=warandsecurity&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On 18 March 2013, the BBC broadcast a documentary called <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-21786506" target="_blank"><em>The Spies Who Fooled the World</em> </a>as part of its Panorama current affairs series. The spies in question were those whose claims that Saddam Hussein&#8217;s Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction (WMD) were used by the UK and US governments to justify the invasion of Iraq 10 years ago. Other sources that showed that Iraq did not have WMD were rejected because their intelligence did not fit the views of the UK and US governments.</p>
<p>The programme was presented by <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/panorama/hi/the_team/newsid_7759000/7759392.stm" target="_blank">Peter Taylor</a>, who has made many programmes about terrorism and espionage, including <a title="Modern Spies – BBC2" href="http://warandsecurity.com/2012/04/10/modern-spies-bbc2/" target="_blank"><em>Modern Spies</em></a> last year.</p>
<p>The most important source for the existence of Iraq WMD was Rafid Ahmed Alwan al-Janabi, code-named <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curveball_(informant)" target="_blank">Curveball</a>, an Iraqi who claimed political asylum in Germany in 1999. He claimed to be a chemical engineer who had worked at an agricultural seed plant. According to him, mobile laboratories capable of producing biological and chemical weapons were based there.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.unitedagainstnucleariran.com/about/leadership/august-hanning" target="_blank">August Hanning</a>, then Director of the German Federal Intelligence Service (BND), and <a href="http://www.notablebiographies.com/newsmakers2/2005-A-Fi/Fischer-Joschka.html" target="_blank">Joschka Fischer</a>, then German Foreign Minister, told the programme that the Germans were sceptical about al-Janabi&#8217;s claims and had cut their links with him by the start of 2001.</p>
<p>For example, satellite photos showed that an articulated lorry could not get out of the warehouse that he said the mobile labs operated from. A friend and former boss of al-Janabi described him as a congenital liar. Al-Janabi admitted on the programme that he made up his claims.</p>
<p>After 9/11, however, President <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/about/presidents/georgewbush" target="_blank">George W. Bush</a> erroneously linked <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/1099005.stm" target="_blank">Saddam Hussein</a> with Al-Qaeda. Curveball&#8217;s intelligence was too useful to the US case to dismiss it. There were some doubts within the CIA and MI6 about him, but his claims were accepted. The programme quoted an MI6 report as saying that:</p>
<blockquote><p> Elements of [his] behaviour strike us as typical of individuals we would normally assess as fabricators [but we are] inclined to believe that a significant part of [Curveball's] reporting is true.</p></blockquote>
<p>Further intelligence came from an Iraqi defector, Major Muhammad Harith, who claimed that the mobile labs were his idea and were mounted on seven Renault trucks. The Americans became suspicious of his story because it was elaborate and unbelievable. He was branded as a fabricator in mid 2002, but his claims remained on record.</p>
<p>Further intelligence appeared to show that Iraq was developing nuclear weapons. Rocco Martino, who had dealings with the Italian and other intelligence services, provided Elisabetta Burba, a journalist who appeared in the programme, with documents that purported to show that Iraq was attempting to buy uranium from Niger. An Iraqi ambassador had visited Niger in 1999, but most of these papers were crude forgeries. Martino&#8217;s family said that he was too ill to comment.</p>
<p>An interview with the late Dr Brian Jones, a WMD expert at British Defence Intelligence, was shown in which he said that Saddam had sought nuclear weapons, but there was no suggestion that he had acquired them or was close to doing so. However, the alleged attempt remained on UK and US files.</p>
<p>In April 2002, British Prime Minister <a href="http://www.number10.gov.uk/past-prime-ministers/tony-blair/" target="_blank">Tony Blair</a> met Bush at his ranch in Texas and agreed to support military action against Iraqi WMD if the UN route had been exhausted. In July, Sir <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Jackson" target="_blank">Richard Dearlove</a>, head of MI6, told Blair that war with Iraq was seen as being inevitable in Washington as information and intelligence was being fixed round the policy. Dearlove was invited to appear on the programme, but said that he did not want to comment on the subject until the current Chilcot Inquiry into the war has concluded. Blair was too busy to participate.</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierre_Brochand" target="_blank">Pierre Brochand</a>, then Director of the French Foreign Intelligence Service (DGSE), said that intelligence was used to disguise a war of choice as a war of necessity.</p>
<p>In July 2002, Blair was told by <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jonathan_Powell_(Labour_adviser)" target="_blank">Jonathan Powell</a>, his Chief of Staff, that public opinion was &#8216;fragile&#8217; and a &#8216;Rolls-Royce&#8217; information campaign was required to convince the British public of the necessity for war.</p>
<p>MI6 received three new pieces of information whilst preparing  a dossier on WMD that would be published on 24 September.</p>
<p>Iraqi WMD could be launched within 45 minutes. This came from the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraqi_National_Accord" target="_blank">Iraqi National Accord</a>, a group of Iraqi exiles based in Jordan. According to Dr <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2012/12/26/world/meast/ayad-allawi---fast-facts" target="_blank">Ayad Allawi </a>of the INA, the source was an Iraqi artillery Colonel, who was assuming that boxes delivered to his unit contained biological or chemical weapons without knowing for certain. His claim that they could be deployed within 45 minutes referred to short range battlefield weapons, but the report applied it to longer range strategic missiles.</p>
<p>The other two new sources were too late to actually be included in the dossier, but reinforced its case. The first was a spy with access to the production of chemical and biological agents. The other was a spy called Red River, who produced hearsay evidence of mobile chemical labs, but made no claim connecting them to WMD.</p>
<p>Blair regarded the dossier as making it beyond doubt that Saddam had WMD. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robin_Butler,_Baron_Butler_of_Brockwell" target="_blank">Lord Butler</a>, who headed the first British inquiry into WMD, said that Blair did not lie, but misled himself. General Sir <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Jackson" target="_blank">Mike Jackson</a>, Chief of the General Staff at the time,  said that &#8216;what appeared to be gold in terms of intelligence turned out to be fool&#8217;s gold,<br />
because it looked like gold, but it wasn&#8217;t.&#8217;  Butler and Jackson both argued that Blair was not a liar, but genuinely thought that Saddam had WMD.</p>
<p>The Bush Administration wanted to use Curveball&#8217;s evidence to make their case. August Hanning of the BND sent a cable to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Tenet" target="_blank">George Tenet</a>, Director of the CIA, warning that this intelligence was uncorroborated. The CIA claims that it never left the desk of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tyler_Drumheller" target="_blank">Tyler Drumheller</a>, then head of its European section; Drumheller stated in the programme that he had passed it on.</p>
<p>In early 2003, two pieces of intelligence that claimed that Iraq did not have WMD came to light. French intelligence had a key intermediary, an Arab journalist who knew several Iraqi ministers, including the Foreign Minister, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naji_Sabri" target="_blank">Naji Sabri</a>. . They passed him onto <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_D._(Bill)_Murray" target="_blank">Bill Murray</a>, the CIA&#8217;s Paris station chief. The Arab wanted $1m for his information, but Murray beat him down to $200,000, including expenses. The expenses included a new suit for Sabri; he was to wear it when making a speech to the UN in order to prove that the intermediary was genuine.</p>
<p>Murray said that Sabri told the CIA via the intermediary that Saddam was interested in acquiring WMD, but then had only a few chemical weapons left over from the 1990s. Sabri did not appear on the programme, but issued a denial that he had provided information to the CIA. The intermediary was invited to participate, but did not do so because the BBC refused to pay him the €10,000 that he wanted in return.</p>
<p>Murray said that his report on Sabri&#8217;s testimony was used selectively. He argued that very bad intelligence reached the leadership quickly, whilst better intelligence did not make it.</p>
<p>The other source was <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tahir_Jalil_Habbush_al-Tikriti" target="_blank">Tahir Habbush al-Tikriti</a>, head of Iraqi intelligence. He met an MI6 officer in Jordan, telling him that Iraq had no WMD. MI6 thought that both these pieces of intelligence were dis-information, designed to  mislead. Tahir is the most senior member of Saddam&#8217;s regime to still be at liberty.</p>
<p>On 5 February 2003, US Secretary of State <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colin_Powell" target="_blank">Colin Powell</a> put forward the case for Iraq having WMD. Joschka Fischer presided over the meeting. In the programme, he said that Powell claimed things that he could not be certain of to be facts.</p>
<p>No WMD were found after the war. Red River, the MI6 spy, failed a lie detector test. The 45 minute claim was dropped. In April 2004 the CIA and MI6 met Curveball and declared him to be a fabricator. Tenet resigned from the CIA a week later. Curveball admitted on the programme that the US/UK coalition went to war on a lie.</p>
<p>Overall, it is clear that the war was launched on faulty intelligence. At best, it may be said that the US and UK governments started with a view about Saddam and WMD and rejected intelligence that did not fit with this preconceived notion. All evidence has to be considered, not just that which confirms what one wants to hear.</p>
<p>For viewers in the UK, the programme is available on the I-Player from <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b01rh8hd/Panorama_The_Spies_Who_Fooled_the_World/" target="_blank">this link</a>, which says that it is available until 18 March 2014, far longer than programmes normally stay on the I-Player. It was made jointly with ZDF of Germany.</p>
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